Jumat, 13 November 2020

COVID-19: Ontario edits pandemic restrictions framework; Ottawa now 'on the cusp' of red level, says Etches; Ottawa shows 41 new cases; Drive-thru test centre to move to NAC - Ottawa Citizen

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There have been 7,766 cases in Ottawa since January. Currently, there are 60 COVID-19 patients in Ottawa hospitals, eight of them in intensive care.

Overall, the number of outbreaks at healthcare institutions fell from 25 to 24, with two outbreaks being closed and one being added. The number of outbreaks in schools or daycares was unchanged at seven, while community outbreaks also remained unchanged, at four.

Looking at the number of reported COVID-19 cases in Ottawa, compared to other ”hot spot” health units — Toronto, Peel, York Region — there’s a temptation to conclude that Ottawa is having significantly more success at suppressing transmission of the virus.

A Thursday presentation prepared by the province’s science advisory and modelling consensus tables showed that as of Nov. 10, Ottawa had fewer weekly cases per 100,000 residents (35.6), than York (59.8), Toronto, (88.5) and Peel (130.5). It’s a reversal from a month ago, when Ottawa was the worst-off of the four health units on this indicator.

It’s important to keep in mind, however, that COVID-19 case numbers can be influenced by a variety of factors, and shouldn’t necessarily be taken as a mirror image of the level of infection in the community.

According to Doug Manuel, an epidemiologist and senior scientist at the Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, there’s a cautious optimism that Ottawa is truly seeing fewer COVID-19 cases “but with some uncertainty still.”

When it comes to COVID-19 hospitalizations, for instance, Manuel said Thursday that Ottawa’s levels aren’t really that much lower than Toronto’s. It’s also hard to get a read on the level of asymptomatic infection in the community, with testing now only open to those with symptoms (or in a number of other prescribed circumstances).

On the other hand, the level of coronavirus genetic material in Ottawa wastewater — which is tested and reported on daily — is “sliding down,” according to Manuel.

“I think we’re kind of feeling we’re not exponentially increasing, and we might even be declining. Very slowly.”

But Manuel was quick to warn against any overconfidence.

“The leaderboard constantly changes,” he noted. “Just because we’re doing a little bit better than other places right now, we should not be complacent with that.”

The Ottawa Hospital announced Friday it was moving its drive-thru assessment centre to the NAC, from its present location at the Coventry Road stadium.

In addition, a new testing site will open at McNabb Community Centre on Percy Street near Gladstone Avenue.

The new facilities will “increase downtown access to COVID-19 testing” the hospital said on Twitter.

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2020-11-14 00:11:15Z
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