In my mind, when you are a legacy retailer like Macy's (M) that communicates to investors the closure of 150 stores by 2026, it's not a one-day story.
Rather this is a story that will unfold every single day inside the company and in the impacted communities until the process is done. It will be discussed at every single investment conference a Macy's executive speaks at between now and 2026. It will be discussed on the next umpteen earnings calls for the company.
So if you own stock in Macy's, this is something that warrants deeper digging and staying on top of the situation (reading local news publications is helpful on this front). It's a major moment for the company that could have implications on whether it's in business 20 years from today.
A few further thoughts after digging of my own last night:
The size of Macy's: After Macy's closes these 150 stores, the company will have about 350 locations open in the US. That barely quantifies as a national retailer, let alone one that could compete effectively with Amazon (AMZN). The company is ceding a ton of market share to rivals such as discounter Target (TGT), which has almost 2,000 stores in the US. Kohl's (KSS) has 1,100 stores in 49 states.
Citi's Paul Lejuez put context around the competitive dynamic in a new note this morning: "With Macy's putting over $2 billion in sales up for grabs over the next three years from its store closing plan, we believe this is most likely to benefit the off-price group (TJX Companies (TJX) in particular) that tends to pick up market share (sales) when department stores close stores."
The losers: What happens when 150 Macy's stores vanish? The retailers that sell products at these stores lose a key outlet to offer merchandise. Lejuez highlighted a few potential losers, all of which are publicly traded: "Those brands that sell into Macy's (SHOO, PVH, RL, CRI, LEVI, COLM, VFC, CPRI) are likely to feel some sales pressure as a result of Macy's store-closing decision. Typically, sales put up for grabs by a department store do not end up getting picked up by other department stores."
Yahoo Finance senior reporter Brooke DiPalma caught up with Macy's new CEO Tony Spring to discuss the store closures, among other topics. More on that here.
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2024-02-28 17:43:00Z
CBMijgFodHRwczovL2ZpbmFuY2UueWFob28uY29tL25ld3Mvc3RvY2stbWFya2V0LXRvZGF5LXVzLXN0b2Nrcy1zbGlwLWluLWNhdXRpb3VzLWNvdW50ZG93bi10by1wY2UtcHJpbnQtYXMtYml0Y29pbi1zb2Fycy1wYXN0LTYwMDAwLTEyMjczOTE1NS5odG1s0gEA
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