Annual pace of inflation edges up in February - CTV News

OTTAWA -- Statistics Canada says the annual pace of inflation ticked slightly higher in February, largely driven by higher gasoline prices.

The consumer price index in February was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier, and up from the year-over-year increase of 1.0 per cent recorded in January.

Financial data firm Refinitiv had said the average economist estimate is for a year-over-year increase of 1.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada says driving much of the growth was a five per cent year-over-year increase in gasoline prices, marking the third-straight month of gains.

Excluding gasoline prices, the agency's consumer price index would have risen by one per cent in February.

The agency also says that homeowner replacement costs, which are linked to the price of new homes, rose seven per cent between February 2020 and last month, marking the largest yearly increase since February 2007.

February's reading marked only the third month that the headline inflation reading was at or above one per cent during the pandemic.

The reading for last month also marked the highest the consumer price index has been since February 2020, when annual inflation clocked in at 2.2 per cent, just before the spread of COVID-19 began to affect the economy.

The longer price weaknesses prevail, the longer Canada's central bank plans to keep its key interest rate at 0.25 per cent to help the economy get back on its feet.

Statistics Canada says the average of Canada's three measures for core inflation, which are considered better gauges of underlying price pressures and closely tracked by the Bank of Canada, was 1.73 per cent for February.

The Bank of Canada has warned that annual inflation readings in March and beyond may spike above its two-per-cent comfort zone, but only because the 12-month comparison will be with the worst of the pandemic-induced downturn.

The trend in higher prices at the pumps should push total annual inflation above two per cent this month, possibly hitting three per cent in April, says CIBC senior economist Royce Mendes.

Here's what happened in the provinces (previous month in brackets):

• Newfoundland and Labrador: 1.2 per cent (1.5)
• Prince Edward Island: 1.4 per cent (0.5)
• Nova Scotia: 1.2 per cent (1.3)
• New Brunswick: 0.8 per cent (0.7)
• Quebec: 1.6 per cent (1.3)
• Ontario: 1.1 per cent (1.1)
• Manitoba: 0.4 per cent (0.7)
• Saskatchewan: 0.8 per cent (0.9)
• Alberta: 0.6 per cent (0.8)
• British Columbia: 0.9 per cent (1.1)

The agency also released rates for major cities, but cautioned that figures may have fluctuated widely because they are based on small statistical samples (previous month in brackets):

• St. John's, N.L.: 1.1 per cent (1.7)
• Charlottetown-Summerside: 1.4 per cent (0.5)
• Halifax: 1.4 per cent (1.4)
• Saint John, N.B.: 0.9 per cent (0.9)
• Quebec City: 1.5 per cent (1.4)
• Montreal: 1.6 per cent (1.5)
• Ottawa: 1.8 per cent (1.8)
• Toronto: 0.9 per cent (0.8)
• Thunder Bay, Ont.: 1.5 per cent (1.1)
• Winnipeg: 0.7 per cent (0.9)
• Regina: 0.8 per cent (0.7)
• Saskatoon: 1.0 per cent (1.1)
• Edmonton: 0.5 per cent (0.9)
• Calgary: 0.5 per cent (0.8)
• Vancouver: 0.7 per cent (1.0)
• Victoria: 1.1 per cent (1.4)
• Whitehorse: 0.4 per cent (0.2)
• Yellowknife: -1.1 per cent (-0.9)
• Iqaluit: -0.3 per cent (0.2)

This report by The Canadian Press was first published March 17, 2021

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2021-03-17 09:01:00Z
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